UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 27 Aug 2026
Aarhus
Home
1-3
Full time
Cepheus Park Randers
Benfica
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aarhus wins
0
Draws
1
Benfica wins
20 Aug 2026
Benfica
3 - 1
Aarhus
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
95%
20%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Aarhus
last 7 at home
3W
3D
1L
1.71
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Benfica
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aarhus | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Aarhus
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Benfica
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
20%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aarhus face Benfica in UEFA Europa League. Aarhus have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Benfica have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 19 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Aarhus won 0, Benfica won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Aarhus, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Benfica. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 27 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Cepheus Park Randers as part of the UEFA Europa League.
