UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 27 Aug 2026
FC Thun
Home
2-2
Full time
Stockhorn Arena
Lech Poznan
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.84 - 2.35
Win probability
Home
6%
Draw
9%
Away
84%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Draw/Away
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Thun wins
0
Draws
1
Lech Poznan wins
20 Aug 2026
Lech Poznan
7 - 0
FC Thun
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
95%
86%
Attack
95%
6%
Defence
93%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
6%
Win probability
84%
Home and away record
FC Thun
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Lech Poznan
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FC Thun | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
FC Thun
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Lech Poznan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Thun face Lech Poznan in UEFA Europa League. FC Thun have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 14 (1.2 points per game). Lech Poznan have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 1 (3 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, FC Thun won 0, Lech Poznan won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Lech Poznan's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 84% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Lech Poznan to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 6% win probability for FC Thun, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 84% probability for Lech Poznan. Our top recommended betting pick is Lech Poznan Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 27 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena as part of the UEFA Europa League.
