Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 28 Aug 2026
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Tapatío
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
22%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca wins
0
Draws
0
Tapatío wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
35%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Tapatío
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Tapatío
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Tapatío |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 14 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alebrijes de Oaxaca face Tapatío in Liga de Expansión MX. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Tapatío have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
Tapatío's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Tapatío to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Tapatío. Our top recommended betting pick is Tapatío Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 28 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
