Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 28 Aug 2026
Cancún
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
CA La Paz
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.8 - 2.37
Win probability
Home
4%
Draw
11%
Away
85%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Draw/Away
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cancún wins
0
Draws
0
CA La Paz wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
66%
40%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
85%
Home and away record
Cancún
last 5 at home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
CA La Paz
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Cancún | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Cancún
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
14%
Behind
43%
CA La Paz
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cancún face CA La Paz in Liga de Expansión MX. Cancún have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game). CA La Paz have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
CA La Paz's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 85% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for CA La Paz to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 4% win probability for Cancún, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 85% probability for CA La Paz. Our top recommended betting pick is CA La Paz Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 28 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
