Primera A · Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026
Once Caldas
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Palogrande
Deportes Tolima
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
18%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Once Caldas wins
0
Draws
0
Deportes Tolima wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Deportes Tolima |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |
Once Caldas |
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Once Caldas face Deportes Tolima in Primera A. Once Caldas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Deportes Tolima have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 76%.
With a 57% probability backing Once Caldas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Once Caldas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Once Caldas, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Deportes Tolima. Our top recommended betting pick is Once Caldas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 76% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 23:15 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande as part of the Primera A.
