Persha Liga · Friday, 28 Aug 2026
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Yarud Mariupol'
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.06 - 1.86
Win probability
Home
15%
Draw
23%
Away
62%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
62%
1.52
Double Chance
Draw/Away
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lokomotiv Kyiv wins
0
Draws
0
Yarud Mariupol' wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
15%
Win probability
62%
Home and away record
Lokomotiv Kyiv
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Yarud Mariupol'
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Lokomotiv Kyiv
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
83%
Behind
17%
Yarud Mariupol'
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Yarud Mariupol' |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 9 |
Lokomotiv Kyiv |
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lokomotiv Kyiv face Yarud Mariupol' in Persha Liga. Lokomotiv Kyiv have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Yarud Mariupol' have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Yarud Mariupol''s counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 62% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Yarud Mariupol' to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 15% win probability for Lokomotiv Kyiv, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 62% probability for Yarud Mariupol'. Our top recommended betting pick is Yarud Mariupol' Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 28 Aug 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Persha Liga.
