Ligi kuu Bara · Friday, 28 Aug 2026
Fountain Gate
Home
0-2
Full time
Kwaraa Stadium
Mbeya City
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fountain Gate wins
0
Draws
0
Mbeya City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Fountain Gate
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Mbeya City
last 4 away from home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Fountain Gate | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 2/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/8 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/8 63% |
| 67% 4/6 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Fountain Gate
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Mbeya City
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Mbeya City |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |
Fountain Gate |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fountain Gate face Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara. Fountain Gate have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Mbeya City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Fountain Gate, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Mbeya City. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 28 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Kwaraa Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
