III Liga - Group 2 · Friday, 28 Aug 2026
Polonia Środa
Home
4-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Gedania Gdansk
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
6%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Polonia Środa wins
0
Draws
0
Gedania Gdansk wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
40%
95%
Attack
80%
73%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Polonia Środa
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Gedania Gdansk
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Polonia Środa | Gedania Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Polonia Środa
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
71%
Level
0%
Behind
29%
Gedania Gdansk
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Polonia Środa |
16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +22 | 37 |
| 12 |
Gedania Gdansk |
16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Polonia Środa face Gedania Gdansk in III Liga - Group 2. Polonia Środa have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 4 (3 points per game). Gedania Gdansk have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 86% probability backing Polonia Środa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Polonia Środa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Polonia Środa, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Gedania Gdansk. Our top recommended betting pick is Polonia Środa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 28 Aug 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 2.
