Ligue 2 · Friday, 28 Aug 2026
Montpellier
Home
0-0
Full time
Stade de la Mosson
Boulogne
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
8%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Montpellier wins
0
Draws
0
Boulogne wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
13%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Montpellier
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
3.20
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Boulogne
last 6 away from home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
0.83
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Montpellier | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Montpellier
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
71%
Behind
14%
Boulogne
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Montpellier face Boulogne in Ligue 2. Montpellier have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Boulogne have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 88% probability backing Montpellier, home advantage and superior chance creation make Montpellier to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Montpellier, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Boulogne. Our top recommended betting pick is Montpellier Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 28 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Stade de la Mosson as part of the Ligue 2.
