FAW Championship · Friday, 28 Aug 2026
Baglan Dragons
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Caerau (Ely)
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
25%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Baglan Dragons wins
0
Draws
0
Caerau (Ely) wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
33%
16%
Attack
86%
75%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Baglan Dragons
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Caerau (Ely)
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Baglan Dragons | Caerau (Ely) | |
|---|---|---|
| 25% 1/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/4 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 75% 3/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Baglan Dragons
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Caerau (Ely)
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely) |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 |
Baglan Dragons |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Baglan Dragons face Caerau (Ely) in FAW Championship. Baglan Dragons have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1.75 points per game). Caerau (Ely) have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 16 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing Baglan Dragons, home advantage and superior chance creation make Baglan Dragons to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Baglan Dragons, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Caerau (Ely). Our top recommended betting pick is Baglan Dragons Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 28 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
