Premier League · Friday, 03 Jul 2026
Fasil Ketema
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Ethiopian Medhin
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.99 - 1.91
Win probability
Home
12%
Draw
24%
Away
64%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Draw/Away
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fasil Ketema wins
0
Draws
0
Ethiopian Medhin wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
5%
33%
Attack
5%
83%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
12%
Win probability
64%
Home and away record
Fasil Ketema
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Ethiopian Medhin
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Fasil Ketema | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Failed to score | 2/2 100% |
At half time
Fasil Ketema
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Ethiopian Medhin
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Ethiopian Medhin |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 14 |
Fasil Ketema |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fasil Ketema face Ethiopian Medhin in Premier League. Fasil Ketema have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (1.5 points per game). Ethiopian Medhin have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 4 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
Ethiopian Medhin's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 64% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Ethiopian Medhin to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 12% win probability for Fasil Ketema, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 64% probability for Ethiopian Medhin. Our top recommended betting pick is Ethiopian Medhin Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 03 Jul 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Premier League.
