Tasmania NPL · Saturday, 29 Aug 2026
South Hobart
Home
4-2
Full time
Darcy Street
Kingborough Lions
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
South Hobart wins
1
Draws
0
Kingborough Lions wins
21 Jun 2026
Kingborough Lions
1 - 1
South Hobart
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
60%
86%
Attack
73%
53%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
South Hobart
last 5 at home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
3.20
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Kingborough Lions
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| South Hobart | Kingborough Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
South Hobart
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
25%
Behind
13%
Kingborough Lions
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
South Hobart face Kingborough Lions in Tasmania NPL. South Hobart have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game). Kingborough Lions have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, South Hobart won 0, Kingborough Lions won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for South Hobart, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Kingborough Lions. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 29 Aug 2026 at 04:00 (East Africa Time) at Darcy Street as part of the Tasmania NPL.
