League Two · Tuesday, 01 Sep 2026
Swindon Town
Home
3-1
Full time
County Ground
Port Vale
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.31
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
20%
Away
37%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Swindon Town wins
0
Draws
0
Port Vale wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
13%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
37%
Home and away record
Swindon Town
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Port Vale
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Swindon Town | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Swindon Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
Port Vale
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Swindon Town |
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 19 |
Port Vale |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Swindon Town face Port Vale in League Two. Swindon Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Port Vale have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 79%.
With a 44% probability backing Swindon Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Swindon Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Swindon Town, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 37% probability for Port Vale. Our top recommended betting pick is Swindon Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 79% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 01 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at County Ground as part of the League Two.
