Premiership · Wednesday, 02 Sep 2026
Kilmarnock
Home
0-1
Full time
Rugby Park
ST Mirren
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.93
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
14%
Away
65%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
65%
1.45
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
93%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
86%
1.09
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
93%
Over 2.5
86%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kilmarnock wins
0
Draws
0
ST Mirren wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
46%
5%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
65%
Home and away record
Kilmarnock
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
ST Mirren
last 5 away from home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Kilmarnock | ST Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Kilmarnock
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
ST Mirren
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Kilmarnock face ST Mirren in Premiership. Kilmarnock have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 15 (0.8 points per game). ST Mirren have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 93% and Both Teams to Score at 86%.
ST Mirren's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 65% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for ST Mirren to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Kilmarnock, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 65% probability for ST Mirren. Our top recommended betting pick is ST Mirren Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 86% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 02 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Rugby Park as part of the Premiership.
