League One · Wednesday, 02 Sep 2026
Luton
Home
2-0
Full time
Kenilworth Road
Stockport County
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
16%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
91%
1.03
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
87%
1.08
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
91%
Over 2.5
87%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Luton wins
0
Draws
0
Stockport County wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
73%
Attack
95%
20%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Luton
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Stockport County
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Luton | Stockport County | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Luton
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Stockport County
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Stockport County |
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 26 |
| 4 |
Luton |
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 24 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Luton face Stockport County in League One. Luton have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 12 (1.4 points per game). Stockport County have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 8 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 91% and Both Teams to Score at 87%.
With a 53% probability backing Luton, home advantage and superior chance creation make Luton to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Luton, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Stockport County. Our top recommended betting pick is Luton Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 87% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 02 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Kenilworth Road as part of the League One.
