Coppa Italia · Thursday, 03 Sep 2026
Palermo
Home
5-2
Full time
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Mantova
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
17%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Palermo wins
0
Draws
0
Mantova wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
80%
53%
Attack
66%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Palermo
last 5 at home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
2.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Mantova
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Palermo | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Palermo
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
11%
Behind
22%
Mantova
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Palermo face Mantova in Coppa Italia. Palermo have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Mantova have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
With a 63% probability backing Palermo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Palermo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Palermo, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Mantova. Our top recommended betting pick is Palermo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 03 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera as part of the Coppa Italia.
