Serie B · Monday, 06 Jul 2026
Vila Nova
Home
2-1
Full time
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
São Bernardo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
29%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vila Nova wins
0
Draws
0
São Bernardo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
5%
33%
Attack
5%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Vila Nova
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
São Bernardo
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Vila Nova | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 1/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Failed to score | 2/2 100% |
At half time
Vila Nova
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
São Bernardo
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Vila Nova |
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vila Nova face São Bernardo in Serie B. Vila Nova have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2 (0 points per game). São Bernardo have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 2 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
São Bernardo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for São Bernardo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Vila Nova, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for São Bernardo. Our top recommended betting pick is São Bernardo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 06 Jul 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga as part of the Serie B.
