Ligue 1 · Friday, 04 Sep 2026
Lyon
Home
3-1
Full time
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Auxerre
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
22%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lyon wins
0
Draws
0
Auxerre wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
16%
Team news
Lyon
- L. Openda · Leg Injury
- M. Ouédraogo · Jumpers Knee
- P. Šulc · Jumpers Knee
- T. Morton · Groin Injury
- Steeve Kango · Concussion
- R. Himbert · Inactive
- S. Kango · Concussion
- M. Ouedraogo · Knee Injury
Auxerre
No absences reported.
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Lyon
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Auxerre
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lyon | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Lyon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Auxerre
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lyon face Auxerre in Ligue 1. Lyon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Auxerre have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 63% probability backing Lyon, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lyon to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Lyon, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Auxerre. Our top recommended betting pick is Lyon Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 04 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais as part of the Ligue 1.
