Eerste Divisie · Friday, 04 Sep 2026
Almere City FC
Home
0-1
Full time
Yanmar Stadion
Jong Ajax
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.18
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
8%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
80%
1.18
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
90%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Almere City FC wins
0
Draws
0
Jong Ajax wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
73%
Attack
73%
53%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
80%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
Almere City FC
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Jong Ajax
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Almere City FC | Jong Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Almere City FC
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Jong Ajax
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Almere City FC face Jong Ajax in Eerste Divisie. Almere City FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Jong Ajax have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 14 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 90% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
With a 80% probability backing Almere City FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Almere City FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for Almere City FC, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Jong Ajax. Our top recommended betting pick is Almere City FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 04 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion as part of the Eerste Divisie.
