Eerste Divisie · Friday, 04 Sep 2026
Heracles
Home
5-0
Full time
Asito Stadium
De Graafschap
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
18%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Heracles wins
0
Draws
0
De Graafschap wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
6%
95%
Attack
40%
20%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
Heracles
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.67
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
De Graafschap
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Heracles | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 100% 6/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 100% 6/6 | Both teams scored | 10/10 100% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Heracles
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
17%
Behind
17%
De Graafschap
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Heracles face De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie. Heracles have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 19 and conceding 12 (2.4 points per game). De Graafschap have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 17 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
With a 48% probability backing Heracles, home advantage and superior chance creation make Heracles to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Heracles, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for De Graafschap. Our top recommended betting pick is Heracles Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 04 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Asito Stadium as part of the Eerste Divisie.
