Eredivisie · Friday, 04 Sep 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
Home
2-2
Full time
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel
PEC Zwolle
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
24%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sparta Rotterdam wins
0
Draws
0
PEC Zwolle wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Sparta Rotterdam
last 5 at home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
PEC Zwolle
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sparta Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Sparta Rotterdam
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
PEC Zwolle
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam face PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie. Sparta Rotterdam have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). PEC Zwolle have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Sparta Rotterdam, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sparta Rotterdam to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Sparta Rotterdam, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for PEC Zwolle. Our top recommended betting pick is Sparta Rotterdam Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 04 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel as part of the Eredivisie.
