Liga 3 · Friday, 04 Sep 2026
União Santarém
Home
0-1
Full time
Campo Cha das Padeiras
Caldas
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.8
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
24%
Away
59%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Draw/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
União Santarém wins
0
Draws
0
Caldas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
13%
8%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
59%
Home and away record
União Santarém
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Caldas
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| União Santarém | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 75% 3/4 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
União Santarém
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
Caldas
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
União Santarém face Caldas in Liga 3. União Santarém have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 8 (0.5 points per game). Caldas have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Caldas's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 59% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Caldas to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for União Santarém, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 59% probability for Caldas. Our top recommended betting pick is Caldas Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 04 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras as part of the Liga 3.
