Serie B · Friday, 04 Sep 2026
Athletic Club
Home
5-0
Full time
Estadio Joaquim Portugal
Vila Nova
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Athletic Club wins
0
Draws
0
Vila Nova wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
66%
26%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Athletic Club
last 8 at home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Vila Nova
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Athletic Club | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Athletic Club
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Vila Nova
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Vila Nova |
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 14 |
Athletic Club |
37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 47 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Athletic Club face Vila Nova in Serie B. Athletic Club have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Vila Nova have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 1 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Athletic Club, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Vila Nova. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 04 Sep 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Joaquim Portugal as part of the Serie B.
