MLS Next Pro · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
North Texas
Home
4-1
Full time
Choctaw Stadium
Real Monarchs
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
19%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
North Texas wins
0
Draws
0
Real Monarchs wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
29%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
North Texas
last 6 at home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Real Monarchs
last 7 away from home
0W
1D
6L
0.14
points a game
0.57
scored a game
2.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| North Texas | Real Monarchs | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
North Texas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
70%
Behind
30%
Real Monarchs
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
North Texas face Real Monarchs in MLS Next Pro. North Texas have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Real Monarchs have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 76%.
Real Monarchs's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Real Monarchs to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for North Texas, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for Real Monarchs. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Monarchs Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 76% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 00:45 (East Africa Time) at Choctaw Stadium as part of the MLS Next Pro.
