J3 League · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Matsumoto Yamaga
Home
0-0
Full time
Sunpro Alwin
Osaka
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.97
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
15%
Away
67%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Matsumoto Yamaga wins
0
Draws
0
Osaka wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
53%
Attack
66%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
67%
Home and away record
Matsumoto Yamaga
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Osaka
last 5 away from home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Matsumoto Yamaga
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Osaka
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Osaka |
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 15 |
Matsumoto Yamaga |
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Matsumoto Yamaga face Osaka in J3 League. Matsumoto Yamaga have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Osaka have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
Osaka's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 67% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Osaka to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Matsumoto Yamaga, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 67% probability for Osaka. Our top recommended betting pick is Osaka Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin as part of the J3 League.
