Segunda Liga · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Tondela
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
FC Porto B
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tondela wins
0
Draws
0
FC Porto B wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
20%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Tondela
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
FC Porto B
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tondela | FC Porto B | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Tondela
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
FC Porto B
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tondela face FC Porto B in Segunda Liga. Tondela have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). FC Porto B have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing Tondela, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tondela to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Tondela, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for FC Porto B. Our top recommended betting pick is Tondela Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda Liga.
