Premier League · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Newcastle
Home
2-2
Full time
St. James' Park
Bournemouth
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
22%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newcastle wins
0
Draws
0
Bournemouth wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
33%
60%
Attack
95%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
33%
Home and away record
Newcastle
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Bournemouth
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.25
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Newcastle | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/7 100% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Newcastle
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Bournemouth
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
83%
Level
17%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Bournemouth |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
Newcastle |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newcastle face Bournemouth in Premier League. Newcastle have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Bournemouth have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 44% probability backing Newcastle, home advantage and superior chance creation make Newcastle to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Newcastle, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Bournemouth. Our top recommended betting pick is Newcastle Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at St. James' Park as part of the Premier League.
