Virsliga · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Tukums
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Ogre United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
16%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tukums wins
0
Draws
1
Ogre United wins
26 Jun 2026
Ogre United
3 - 2
Tukums
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
6%
20%
Attack
40%
26%
Defence
5%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
67%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Tukums
last 5 at home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Ogre United
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.43
scored a game
3.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tukums | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Tukums
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Ogre United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tukums face Ogre United in Virsliga. Tukums have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Ogre United have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 15 (0.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Tukums won 0, Ogre United won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
With a 67% probability backing Tukums, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tukums to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Tukums, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Ogre United. Our top recommended betting pick is Tukums Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Virsliga.
