Second League - Group 3 · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Metallurg Lipetsk
Home
0-1
Full time
Stadion Metallurg
Shumbrat
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
27%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Metallurg Lipetsk wins
0
Draws
0
Shumbrat wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Metallurg Lipetsk
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Shumbrat
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Metallurg Lipetsk | Shumbrat | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
Metallurg Lipetsk
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
Shumbrat
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Metallurg Lipetsk face Shumbrat in Second League - Group 3. Metallurg Lipetsk have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Shumbrat have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing Metallurg Lipetsk, home advantage and superior chance creation make Metallurg Lipetsk to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Metallurg Lipetsk, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Shumbrat. Our top recommended betting pick is Metallurg Lipetsk Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg as part of the Second League - Group 3.
