Derde Divisie · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Excelsior Maassluis
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Noordwijk
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
23%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Excelsior Maassluis wins
0
Draws
0
Noordwijk wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
80%
60%
Attack
66%
60%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Excelsior Maassluis
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Noordwijk
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Excelsior Maassluis | Noordwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/5 80% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Excelsior Maassluis
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
0%
Behind
60%
Noordwijk
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
25%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Noordwijk |
12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |
Excelsior Maassluis |
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Excelsior Maassluis face Noordwijk in Derde Divisie. Excelsior Maassluis have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Noordwijk have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 46% probability backing Excelsior Maassluis, home advantage and superior chance creation make Excelsior Maassluis to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Excelsior Maassluis, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Noordwijk. Our top recommended betting pick is Excelsior Maassluis Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
