National 1 · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Concarneau
Home
2-2
Full time
Stade Guy Piriou
Thionville Lusitanos
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.95
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
15%
Away
66%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
82%
1.15
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
82%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Concarneau wins
0
Draws
0
Thionville Lusitanos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
73%
53%
Attack
80%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
66%
Home and away record
Concarneau
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Thionville Lusitanos
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.33
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Concarneau | Thionville Lusitanos | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Concarneau
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Thionville Lusitanos
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Concarneau |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 |
| 11 |
Thionville Lusitanos |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Concarneau face Thionville Lusitanos in National 1. Concarneau have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Thionville Lusitanos have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 82%.
Thionville Lusitanos's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 66% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Thionville Lusitanos to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Concarneau, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 66% probability for Thionville Lusitanos. Our top recommended betting pick is Thionville Lusitanos Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 82% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 12:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou as part of the National 1.
