Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
3. Division · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Næsby
Home
4-3
Full time
ALPI Arena Naesby
Hørsholm-Usserød
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.22
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.55 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
77%
Draw
9%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
77%
1.22
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
91%
1.03
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
91%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.25
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Næsby wins
0
Draws
0
Hørsholm-Usserød wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
80%
Attack
86%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
77%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Næsby
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Hørsholm-Usserød
last 5 away from home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
2.80
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Næsby | Hørsholm-Usserød | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Næsby
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Hørsholm-Usserød
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
63%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Næsby face Hørsholm-Usserød in 3. Division. Næsby have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Hørsholm-Usserød have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 8 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 91% and Both Teams to Score at 79%.
With a 77% probability backing Næsby, home advantage and superior chance creation make Næsby to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 77% win probability for Næsby, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Hørsholm-Usserød. Our top recommended betting pick is Næsby Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.25 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 79% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby as part of the 3. Division.
