Derde Divisie · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
TOGB
Home
3-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Groene Ster
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
87%
1.08
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
87%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
TOGB wins
0
Draws
0
Groene Ster wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
40%
Attack
58%
20%
Defence
16%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
TOGB
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Groene Ster
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| TOGB | Groene Ster | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 4/4 100% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
TOGB
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Groene Ster
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
TOGB face Groene Ster in Derde Divisie. TOGB have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Groene Ster have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 87% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for TOGB, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Groene Ster. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
