Bundesliga · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
4-0
Full time
BayArena
Union Berlin
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
15%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bayer Leverkusen wins
0
Draws
0
Union Berlin wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
73%
Attack
93%
53%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Bayer Leverkusen
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Union Berlin
last 7 away from home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
2.86
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bayer Leverkusen | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 100% 8/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Bayer Leverkusen
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Union Berlin
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin |
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -14 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen face Union Berlin in Bundesliga. Bayer Leverkusen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Union Berlin have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 13 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 72% probability backing Bayer Leverkusen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bayer Leverkusen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Bayer Leverkusen, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Union Berlin. Our top recommended betting pick is Bayer Leverkusen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at BayArena as part of the Bundesliga.
