FAW Championship · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Newtown AFC
Home
1-0
Full time
Latham Park
Denbigh Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
4%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newtown AFC wins
0
Draws
0
Denbigh Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
6%
93%
Attack
46%
93%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Newtown AFC
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Denbigh Town
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Newtown AFC | Denbigh Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 7/7 100% |
| 80% 4/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Newtown AFC
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Denbigh Town
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Newtown AFC |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 27 |
| 12 |
Denbigh Town |
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newtown AFC face Denbigh Town in FAW Championship. Newtown AFC have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 1 (2.6 points per game). Denbigh Town have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Newtown AFC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Newtown AFC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Newtown AFC, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Denbigh Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Newtown AFC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Latham Park as part of the FAW Championship.
