FAW Championship · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Pontardawe Town
Home
13:30
d ::
Venue TBC
Caerau (Ely)
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.31
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
18%
Away
37%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
87%
1.08
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
87%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pontardawe Town wins
0
Draws
0
Caerau (Ely) wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
66%
40%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
37%
Home and away record
Pontardawe Town
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Caerau (Ely)
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.80
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Pontardawe Town | Caerau (Ely) | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Pontardawe Town
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Caerau (Ely)
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely) |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 12 |
Pontardawe Town |
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pontardawe Town face Caerau (Ely) in FAW Championship. Pontardawe Town have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Caerau (Ely) have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 13 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 87% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
With a 45% probability backing Pontardawe Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pontardawe Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Pontardawe Town, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 37% probability for Caerau (Ely). Our top recommended betting pick is Pontardawe Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
