Meistriliiga · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Vaprus
Home
1-0
Full time
Parnu Rannastaadion
Nõmme United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
10%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
91%
1.03
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
91%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vaprus wins
0
Draws
1
Nõmme United wins
02 Sep 2026
Nõmme United
3 - 2
Vaprus
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
40%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
76%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Vaprus
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Nõmme United
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vaprus | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Vaprus
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Nõmme United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vaprus face Nõmme United in Meistriliiga. Vaprus have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game). Nõmme United have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Vaprus won 0, Nõmme United won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 91% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
With a 76% probability backing Vaprus, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vaprus to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Vaprus, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Nõmme United. Our top recommended betting pick is Vaprus Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion as part of the Meistriliiga.
