Premier League · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Brighton
Home
1-1
Full time
Amex Stadium
Leeds
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
23%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Brighton wins
0
Draws
0
Leeds wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
73%
80%
Attack
60%
73%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Brighton
last 5 at home
5W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.20
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Leeds
last 5 away from home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Brighton | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 71% 5/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/9 56% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
Brighton
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Leeds
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Brighton face Leeds in Premier League. Brighton have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Leeds have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Brighton, home advantage and superior chance creation make Brighton to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Brighton, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Leeds. Our top recommended betting pick is Brighton Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Amex Stadium as part of the Premier League.
