League Two · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Accrington ST
Home
3-2
Full time
The Wham Stadium
Crawley Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
29%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Accrington ST wins
0
Draws
0
Crawley Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
26%
46%
Attack
20%
26%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Accrington ST
last 6 at home
2W
4D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Crawley Town
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Accrington ST | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Accrington ST
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Crawley Town
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Accrington ST |
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Accrington ST face Crawley Town in League Two. Accrington ST have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.4 points per game). Crawley Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 19%.
With a 45% probability backing Accrington ST, home advantage and superior chance creation make Accrington ST to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Accrington ST, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Crawley Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Accrington ST Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 19%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium as part of the League Two.
