League Two · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Northampton
Home
1-0
Full time
Sixfields Stadium
Newport County
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.04 - 1.97
Win probability
Home
14%
Draw
19%
Away
67%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Northampton wins
0
Draws
0
Newport County wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
13%
Attack
66%
60%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
14%
Win probability
67%
Home and away record
Northampton
last 4 at home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
0.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Newport County
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Northampton | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Northampton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Newport County
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Newport County |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 21 |
Northampton |
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Northampton face Newport County in League Two. Northampton have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.6 points per game). Newport County have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Newport County's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 67% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Newport County to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 14% win probability for Northampton, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 67% probability for Newport County. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport County Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium as part of the League Two.
