III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Jarosław
Home
6-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Korona Kielce II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
13%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
93%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
87%
1.08
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
93%
Over 2.5
87%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.2
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Jarosław wins
0
Draws
0
Korona Kielce II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
73%
60%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Jarosław
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Korona Kielce II
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
4.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Jarosław | Korona Kielce II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Jarosław
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Korona Kielce II
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
13%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Jarosław |
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | +2 | 18 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce II |
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Jarosław face Korona Kielce II in III Liga - Group 4. Jarosław have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Korona Kielce II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 93% and Both Teams to Score at 87%.
With a 66% probability backing Jarosław, home advantage and superior chance creation make Jarosław to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Jarosław, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Korona Kielce II. Our top recommended betting pick is Jarosław Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.2 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 87% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
