National League - North · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Hereford
Home
2-1
Full time
Edgar Street
Spennymoor Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hereford wins
0
Draws
0
Spennymoor Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
33%
93%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Hereford
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Spennymoor Town
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Hereford | Spennymoor Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 8/9 89% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Hereford
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Spennymoor Town
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Hereford |
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 26 |
| 24 |
Spennymoor Town |
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Hereford face Spennymoor Town in National League - North. Hereford have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 1 (2.6 points per game). Spennymoor Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With a 93% probability backing Hereford, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hereford to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Hereford, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Spennymoor Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Hereford Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Edgar Street as part of the National League - North.
