National League - North · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Merthyr Town
Home
2-1
Full time
Penydarren Park
Macclesfield
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
30%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merthyr Town wins
0
Draws
0
Macclesfield wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
86%
40%
Attack
60%
46%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Merthyr Town
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Macclesfield
last 6 away from home
3W
3D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Merthyr Town | Macclesfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Merthyr Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Macclesfield
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Macclesfield |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 19 |
Merthyr Town |
15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Merthyr Town face Macclesfield in National League - North. Merthyr Town have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Macclesfield have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Macclesfield's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Macclesfield to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Merthyr Town, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Macclesfield. Our top recommended betting pick is Macclesfield Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Penydarren Park as part of the National League - North.
