National League - North · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Morecambe
Home
4-0
Full time
The Mazuma Stadium
Buxton
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
32%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Morecambe wins
0
Draws
0
Buxton wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
45%
Home and away record
Morecambe
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Buxton
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Morecambe | Buxton | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Morecambe
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
67%
Behind
11%
Buxton
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Morecambe face Buxton in National League - North. Morecambe have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Buxton have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
Buxton's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Buxton to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Morecambe, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Buxton. Our top recommended betting pick is Buxton Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium as part of the National League - North.
