National League - North · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Spalding United
Home
2-0
Full time
Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field
Southport
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
22%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spalding United wins
0
Draws
0
Southport wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Spalding United
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Southport
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
3.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Spalding United | Southport | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Spalding United
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Southport
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Spalding United |
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 23 |
Southport |
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Spalding United face Southport in National League - North. Spalding United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1 points per game). Southport have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 22% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Spalding United, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Southport. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field as part of the National League - North.
