National League - South · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Chelmsford City
Home
1-1
Full time
Melbourne Stadium
Salisbury
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
37%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
16%
Over 2.5
21%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.64
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chelmsford City wins
0
Draws
0
Salisbury wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Chelmsford City
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Salisbury
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chelmsford City | Salisbury | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Chelmsford City
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Salisbury
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Salisbury |
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 12 |
Chelmsford City |
14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chelmsford City face Salisbury in National League - South. Chelmsford City have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game). Salisbury have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 16% and Both Teams to Score at 21%.
Salisbury's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Salisbury to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Chelmsford City, a 37% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Salisbury. Our top recommended betting pick is Salisbury Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.64 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 21%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Melbourne Stadium as part of the National League - South.
