Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Belasitsa
Home
3-2
Full time
Stadion Tsar Samuil
Slivnishki geroy
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
12%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
93%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
88%
1.07
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
93%
Over 2.5
88%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Belasitsa wins
0
Draws
0
Slivnishki geroy wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
73%
Attack
53%
20%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
65%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Belasitsa
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
3.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Slivnishki geroy
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Belasitsa | Slivnishki geroy | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Belasitsa
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Slivnishki geroy
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
0%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Slivnishki geroy |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 |
Belasitsa |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Belasitsa face Slivnishki geroy in Third League - Southwest. Belasitsa have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 12 (1.4 points per game). Slivnishki geroy have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 93% and Both Teams to Score at 88%.
With a 65% probability backing Belasitsa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Belasitsa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for Belasitsa, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Slivnishki geroy. Our top recommended betting pick is Belasitsa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 88% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Tsar Samuil as part of the Third League - Southwest.
