Torneo Promocional Amateur · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Provincial
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Juventud de Bernal
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Provincial wins
0
Draws
0
Juventud de Bernal wins
14 Jul 2026
Juventud de Bernal
0 - 4
Provincial
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
13%
6%
Attack
26%
5%
Defence
5%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Provincial
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Juventud de Bernal
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
3.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Provincial | Juventud de Bernal | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 22% 2/9 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 67% 6/9 | Failed to score | 5/9 56% |
At half time
Provincial
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
0%
Behind
86%
Juventud de Bernal
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Match Preview & Analysis
Provincial face Juventud de Bernal in Torneo Promocional Amateur. Provincial have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 24 (0 points per game). Juventud de Bernal have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 16 (0.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Provincial won 1, Juventud de Bernal won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Provincial, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Juventud de Bernal. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
