Primera Nacional · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Tristan Suarez
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio 20 de Octubre
San Martin Tucuman
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
25%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tristan Suarez wins
0
Draws
0
San Martin Tucuman wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Tristan Suarez
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
San Martin Tucuman
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Tristan Suarez | San Martin Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 56% 5/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Tristan Suarez
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
San Martin Tucuman
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tristan Suarez |
35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 |
| 10 |
San Martin Tucuman |
35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tristan Suarez face San Martin Tucuman in Primera Nacional. Tristan Suarez have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). San Martin Tucuman have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 63% probability backing Tristan Suarez, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tristan Suarez to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Tristan Suarez, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for San Martin Tucuman. Our top recommended betting pick is Tristan Suarez Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre as part of the Primera Nacional.
