Ligue 2 · Saturday, 05 Sep 2026
Saint Etienne
Home
3-1
Full time
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Montpellier
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
15%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
95%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
91%
1.03
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
95%
Over 2.5
91%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Saint Etienne wins
0
Draws
0
Montpellier wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
73%
95%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Saint Etienne
last 5 at home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
3.40
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Montpellier
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Saint Etienne | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 89% 8/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Saint Etienne
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
22%
Behind
11%
Montpellier
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
75%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saint Etienne |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |
Montpellier |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Saint Etienne face Montpellier in Ligue 2. Saint Etienne have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 6 (3 points per game). Montpellier have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 95% and Both Teams to Score at 91%.
With a 54% probability backing Saint Etienne, home advantage and superior chance creation make Saint Etienne to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Saint Etienne, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Montpellier. Our top recommended betting pick is Saint Etienne Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 91% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 05 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard as part of the Ligue 2.
